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Red40
276516.0
400514.8
55788.8
Blue91
493315.4
452254.0
429811.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25780501001502004091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2765
#26
16.00.5
11.812.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 38.0
54.00.9
51.952.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
Second
4005
#30
14.80.5
11.912.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4933
#27
15.41.5
16.417.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
5578
#52
8.80.5
10.210.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 3.0
4298
#29
11.81.5
4.35.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0