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Red34
452319.1
317917.7
234122.9
Blue13
346524.3
500111.6
246114.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5934020801001201401603413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#23
22.91.9
23.721.8
Auto0.0
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 1.4
3465
#11
24.32.2
17.515.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
4523
#14
19.11.9
14.912.9
Auto0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 4.3
2461
#35
14.82.2
12.710.5
Auto0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
3179
#33
17.71.2
18.717.5
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 6.1
5001
#47
11.62.2
8.86.7
Auto0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0