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Red68
239528.7
239815.2
554811.8
Blue77
509821.3
324716.1
175013.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394601001502002506877

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2395
#16
28.71.3
23.224.5
Auto0.3
Teleop28.4
End0.0
red by 7.4
5098
#22
21.31.5
18.620.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
2398
#39
15.22.2
7.910.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 0.9
3247
#37
16.12.5
16.418.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
5548
#32
11.82.2
10.212.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 1.9
1750
#50
13.72.5
11.914.5
Auto0.0
Teleop13.6
End0.0