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Red0
324716.1
316010.2
31695.2
Blue45
500619.3
317917.7
27237.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32460100150200045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3247
#37
16.11.9
18.916.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 3.2
5006
#36
19.30.0
20.320.3
Auto0.2
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
3160
#56
10.21.2
10.39.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 7.5
3179
#33
17.70.0
17.517.5
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
3169
#60
5.21.9
6.24.2
Auto0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 2.2
2723
#46
7.40.1
8.07.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0