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Red102
235425.1
452319.1
177547.4
Blue68
239815.2
156120.3
316314.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions692405010015010268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.9
33.135.0
Auto0.0
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 27.1
1561
#13
20.33.0
16.119.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Second
25.13.1
18.621.7
Auto0.1
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 10.0
2398
#39
15.23.0
10.113.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
4523
#14
19.13.1
12.916.0
Auto0.1
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 4.8
3163
#41
14.43.0
5.68.6
Auto0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0