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Red65
242413.1
350720.5
276516.0
Blue28
55788.8
562111.7
93221.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313601001502002503003504006528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3507
#45
20.51.6
10.612.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
blue by 0.9
932
#28
21.40.4
17.016.6
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
2765
#26
16.02.7
12.315.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 4.3
5621
#40
11.70.7
8.98.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Third
2424
#53
13.12.7
10.012.7
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 4.3
5578
#52
8.80.7
10.710.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0