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Red97
233324.7
562111.7
216535.7
Blue90
317917.7
156120.3
235425.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405901001502009790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.74.4
26.130.5
Auto0.1
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 10.5
25.12.6
21.724.3
Auto0.1
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Second
24.74.4
10.014.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 4.4
1561
#13
20.32.6
19.121.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
5621
#40
11.74.4
8.212.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 6.0
3179
#33
17.71.6
17.519.1
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0