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Red29
57307.7
316314.4
400514.8
Blue65
359330.8
239528.7
56113.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346101001502002502965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4005
#30
14.80.3
16.816.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
blue by 16.0
30.80.5
31.131.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Second
3163
#41
14.40.3
15.615.2
Auto0.1
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 14.3
2395
#16
28.70.3
26.727.0
Auto0.3
Teleop28.4
End0.0
Third
5730
#54
7.70.3
6.76.3
Auto0.7
Teleop7.0
End0.0
red by 4.3
5611
#57
3.40.5
0.81.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.4
End0.0