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Red24
500619.3
3112.9
429811.8
Blue34
242413.1
235213.2
246114.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444302060801002434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5006
#36
19.30.7
19.118.4
Auto0.2
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 4.4
2461
#35
14.81.0
16.415.4
Auto0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Second
31
#12
12.91.0
9.88.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 0.3
2352
#25
13.21.0
15.214.2
Auto0.0
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
4298
#29
11.81.0
14.613.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 1.3
2424
#53
13.11.0
15.514.5
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0