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Red66
93221.4
393126.1
346524.3
Blue7
239815.2
279518.1
27237.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions653602080100120140160667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#15
26.10.2
24.824.9
Auto0.3
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 8.0
2795
#31
18.12.7
16.313.6
Auto0.7
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
3465
#11
24.30.3
21.721.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 9.2
2398
#39
15.22.7
15.112.4
Auto0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
932
#28
21.40.2
16.116.3
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 13.9
2723
#46
7.42.7
10.88.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0