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Red80
31695.2
495923.8
366018.0
Blue80
216535.7
277316.0
276516.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28680501001502008080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.82.2
20.723.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 11.8
35.71.2
30.531.7
Auto0.1
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Second
3660
#19
18.03.5
12.315.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 2.0
2765
#26
16.01.2
17.018.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
3169
#60
5.23.5
2.45.9
Auto0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 10.8
2773
#49
16.00.8
16.517.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0