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Red56
379814.0
509821.3
562111.7
Blue102
177547.4
238812.5
500111.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3950010015020025030056102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#22
21.30.7
19.320.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 26.1
47.42.6
39.241.7
Auto0.0
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Second
3798
#43
14.01.1
10.111.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 1.4
2388
#42
12.54.0
5.89.8
Auto0.1
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
5621
#40
11.71.1
12.613.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 0.1
5001
#47
11.64.0
5.59.5
Auto0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0