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Red40
350720.5
56113.4
29865.5
Blue24
27237.4
246114.8
23828.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1434060801001201401604024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3507
#45
20.51.4
13.014.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 5.6
2461
#35
14.80.6
15.414.8
Auto0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Second
2986
#61
5.52.0
3.55.5
Auto0.1
Teleop5.4
End0.0
blue by 2.6
2382
#55
8.10.6
8.78.1
Auto0.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0
Third
5611
#57
3.42.0
1.33.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.4
End0.0
blue by 4.1
2723
#46
7.40.6
8.07.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0