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Red158
233324.7
235922.8
129661.0
Blue76
500111.6
239528.7
461211.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions913605015020025015876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.04.8
50.255.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop61.4
End0.0
red by 32.3
2395
#16
28.71.5
27.028.5
Auto0.3
Teleop28.4
End0.0
Second
24.76.9
18.125.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.7
End0.0
red by 13.1
5001
#47
11.62.2
9.511.6
Auto0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
2359
#10
22.84.8
17.822.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 11.2
4612
#48
11.62.2
9.411.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0