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Red112
131055.0
467857.7
201322.0
Blue82
491747.0
400151.0
371017.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331115010015020025011282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.4
57.557.1
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End0.0
red by 6.6
51.00.6
51.951.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
55.00.4
54.854.4
Auto7.5
Teleop47.5
End0.0
red by 8.0
47.00.6
47.947.3
Auto0.8
Teleop46.2
End0.0
Third
2013
#21
22.00.4
21.821.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
3710
#27
17.70.6
18.517.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0