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Red167
131055.0
467857.7
201322.0
Blue100
491747.0
400151.0
371017.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13210950150200250167100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.6
57.157.7
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End0.0
red by 6.6
51.00.3
51.351.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
55.00.6
54.455.0
Auto7.5
Teleop47.5
End0.0
red by 8.0
47.00.3
47.347.0
Auto0.8
Teleop46.2
End0.0
Third
2013
#21
22.00.6
21.422.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 4.3
3710
#27
17.70.3
17.917.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0