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Red18
495112.3
260926.1
497617.9
Blue46
78123.3
35436.7
371017.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435001002003004001846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#22
26.11.4
24.523.2
Auto0.6
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 2.8
781
#19
23.30.1
23.523.6
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Second
4976
#30
17.92.3
12.910.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 0.3
3710
#27
17.70.1
20.921.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
4951
#32
12.31.4
8.26.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 5.6
3543
#33
6.70.1
6.16.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.7
End0.0