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Red100
133421.3
131055.0
494633.2
Blue62
452532.6
220035.8
491431.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896105010015020010062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.00.7
38.238.9
Auto7.5
Teleop47.5
End0.0
red by 19.2
35.80.3
24.023.7
Auto0.1
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Second
4946
#16
33.20.7
33.434.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 0.6
4525
#10
32.60.5
14.614.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop33.3
End0.0
Third
1334
#13
21.30.6
16.016.6
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 10.1
31.40.3
29.028.6
Auto0.4
Teleop31.0
End0.0