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Red43
78123.3
220035.8
519112.6
Blue22
516410.3
497617.9
201322.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions694502060801001201401604322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.81.2
26.325.0
Auto0.1
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 13.8
2013
#21
22.01.4
25.824.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
781
#19
23.31.2
24.323.1
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 5.4
4976
#30
17.92.4
16.814.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
5191
#34
12.62.1
17.215.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 2.3
5164
#24
10.32.4
8.05.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0