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Red74
452532.6
299413.8
133421.3
Blue81
238642.2
503519.4
494633.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions409601502002507481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4525
#10
32.62.0
18.020.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 9.6
42.20.5
47.046.5
Auto0.6
Teleop41.6
End0.0
Second
1334
#13
21.31.2
18.719.9
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 11.9
4946
#16
33.20.5
33.332.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
2994
#25
13.81.2
13.414.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5035
#20
19.40.8
10.79.9
Auto0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0