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Red44
491431.4
77232.2
54097.0
Blue116
406927.2
499220.0
467857.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4783010015020025044116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
772
#11
32.20.2
18.017.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 25.5
57.71.8
48.550.3
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End0.0
Second
31.40.2
28.428.2
Auto0.4
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 4.2
4069
#15
27.21.8
17.819.6
Auto1.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Third
5409
#36
7.00.2
7.87.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 13.1
4992
#18
20.03.0
14.016.9
Auto0.5
Teleop19.5
End0.0