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Red73
218519.1
220035.8
515715.3
Blue46
495112.3
18841.0
201322.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477301001502007346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.81.0
25.026.1
Auto0.1
Teleop35.6
End0.0
blue by 5.2
188
#5
41.01.3
39.638.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
2185
#17
19.11.0
16.217.2
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 2.9
2013
#21
22.01.3
24.423.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
5157
#26
15.31.7
11.212.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 2.9
4951
#32
12.31.3
7.96.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.9
End0.0