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Red11
415215.5
499220.0
516410.3
Blue14
53247.0
567217.5
371017.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37360102030506070801114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#18
20.02.1
20.418.3
Auto0.5
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 2.4
3710
#27
17.71.3
19.218.0
Auto0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
4152
#28
15.52.1
10.18.0
Auto0.9
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 2.0
5672
#14
17.52.1
14.812.7
Auto0.4
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Third
5164
#24
10.32.1
5.63.6
Auto0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 3.3
5324
#35
7.02.1
5.13.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop7.3
End0.0