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Red89
497617.9
220035.8
35436.7
Blue46
77232.2
415215.5
503519.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433502060801008946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.82.3
26.128.3
Auto0.1
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 3.6
772
#11
32.20.7
17.918.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
4976
#30
17.93.8
11.615.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 1.5
5035
#20
19.41.2
11.712.9
Auto0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
3543
#33
6.73.8
5.69.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 8.8
4152
#28
15.51.2
8.09.2
Auto0.9
Teleop14.6
End0.0