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Qual 402015 North Bay Regional
Red54
238642.2
515715.3
299413.8
Blue59
490215.8
260926.1
519112.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions734801001505459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#8
42.20.9
44.5→43.6
Auto0.6
Teleop41.6
End0.0
red by 16.1
2609
#22
26.10.3
24.0→24.3
Auto0.6
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
5157
#26
15.31.5
12.9→11.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4902
#23
15.80.3
13.8→14.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
2994
#25
13.80.9
14.6→13.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 1.2
5191
#34
12.60.4
15.8→16.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop13.1
End0.0