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Red72
499220.0
299413.8
491747.0
Blue89
494633.2
18841.0
78123.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69970501502007289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.2
45.645.5
Auto0.8
Teleop46.2
End0.0
red by 6.0
188
#5
41.00.3
38.638.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
4992
#18
20.00.3
16.316.0
Auto0.5
Teleop19.5
End0.0
blue by 13.2
4946
#16
33.20.3
33.132.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
2994
#25
13.80.2
13.713.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 9.5
781
#19
23.30.3
24.023.7
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0