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Red70
130537.9
490215.8
497617.9
Blue64
201322.0
357110.0
467857.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions569301502002507064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.3
34.234.5
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
blue by 19.7
57.71.3
54.853.4
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End0.0
Second
4976
#30
17.90.5
15.415.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 4.0
2013
#21
22.01.3
23.422.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
4902
#23
15.80.3
14.014.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 5.7
3571
#31
10.02.1
12.710.6
Auto0.3
Teleop9.7
End0.0