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Red56
447627.2
260926.1
516410.3
Blue54
491431.4
495112.3
371017.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535130406070805654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#12
27.20.1
26.026.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 4.2
31.40.3
28.628.9
Auto0.4
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
2609
#22
26.10.1
24.324.4
Auto0.6
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 8.5
3710
#27
17.70.3
18.318.6
Auto0.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
5164
#24
10.30.1
4.64.7
Auto0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4951
#32
12.30.3
6.67.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.9
End0.0