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Qual 482015 North Bay Regional
Red63
406927.2
496815.3
53247.0
Blue15
515715.3
567217.5
35436.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37350102030506070806315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#15
27.21.6
24.2→25.8
Auto1.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 9.7
5672
#14
17.51.8
16.8→15.0
Auto0.4
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Second
4968
#29
15.32.5
12.1→14.6
Auto0.8
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 0.1
5157
#26
15.31.8
11.4→9.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Third
5324
#35
7.02.5
1.0→3.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop7.3
End0.0
red by 0.3
3543
#33
6.71.8
9.4→7.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.7
End0.0