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Red38
218519.1
78123.3
495112.3
Blue98
130537.9
491431.4
494633.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341030501502003898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#19
23.30.4
23.723.3
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 14.6
37.90.7
34.535.2
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Second
2185
#17
19.10.4
15.715.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 14.2
4946
#16
33.20.7
32.833.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
4951
#32
12.30.4
7.06.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 19.1
31.40.7
28.929.6
Auto0.4
Teleop31.0
End0.0