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Qual 582015 North Bay Regional
Red154
415215.5
218519.1
131055.0
Blue118
77232.2
515715.3
499220.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73450100150154118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#2
55.04.1
46.8→51.0
Auto7.5
Teleop47.5
End0.0
red by 22.8
772
#11
32.23.4
25.2→28.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
2185
#17
19.14.1
15.3→19.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 1.0
4992
#18
20.04.5
15.7→20.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
4152
#28
15.55.5
8.9→14.5
Auto0.9
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 0.3
5157
#26
15.34.5
9.7→14.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0