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Qual 592015 North Bay Regional
Red56
452532.6
490215.8
503519.4
Blue77
130537.9
516410.3
78123.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546701001502002503003504005677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4525
#10
32.60.1
26.1→26.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop33.3
End0.0
blue by 5.3
1305
#6
37.90.5
35.2→35.7
Auto0.1
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Second
5035
#20
19.40.1
17.0→16.9
Auto0.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 3.9
781
#19
23.30.5
23.3→23.8
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
4902
#23
15.80.1
14.9→14.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 5.4
5164
#24
10.30.7
8.7→9.4
Auto0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0