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Red40
499220.0
496815.3
218519.1
Blue70
78123.3
133421.3
467857.7
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4311101502002504070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4992
#18
20.00.2
20.220.0
Auto0.5
Teleop19.5
End0.0
blue by 37.6
57.71.7
57.555.8
Auto10.0
Teleop47.7
End0.0
Second
2185
#17
19.10.1
19.419.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 4.2
781
#19
23.31.7
23.822.0
Auto0.3
Teleop23.0
End0.0
Third
4968
#29
15.30.2
15.315.2
Auto0.8
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 5.9
1334
#13
21.31.7
23.221.5
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0