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Red107
490215.8
400151.0
447627.2
Blue54
494633.2
519112.6
497617.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9153010015010754

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.00.9
49.049.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 17.8
4946
#16
33.20.1
32.932.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Second
4476
#12
27.20.9
25.025.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 9.2
4976
#30
17.90.1
15.515.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
4902
#23
15.80.9
14.815.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 3.2
5191
#34
12.60.1
12.712.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop13.1
End0.0