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Red60
336029.7
494635.4
558015.9
Blue70
124115.4
85427.8
477713.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions854801001502006070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.40.5
35.935.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 7.6
854
#5
27.80.3
27.427.7
Auto1.7
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
3360
#10
29.70.5
30.129.7
Auto2.1
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 14.2
1241
#33
15.40.3
15.015.3
Auto0.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
5580
#14
15.90.5
16.315.9
Auto-0.8
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 2.6
4777
#18
13.30.3
12.913.2
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0