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Red116
260927.1
131037.0
74610.4
Blue52
124115.4
85427.8
477713.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7252010015011652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.9
36.137.0
Auto6.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 9.2
854
#5
27.80.1
27.927.8
Auto1.7
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
27.10.9
26.227.1
Auto1.8
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 11.7
1241
#33
15.40.1
15.515.4
Auto0.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
746
#32
10.40.9
9.510.4
Auto1.3
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 2.9
4777
#18
13.30.1
13.413.3
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0