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Red30
85427.8
56996.6
131037.0
Blue0
35417.0
394913.5
26348.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48240406080100120140160300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.3
25.323.9
Auto6.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 23.5
3949
#19
13.51.9
12.510.6
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Second
854
#5
27.81.3
11.410.1
Auto1.7
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 19.4
2634
#40
8.41.9
8.97.0
Auto0.7
Teleop7.8
End0.0
Third
5699
#41
6.61.3
9.07.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 0.5
3541
#35
7.01.9
7.15.3
Auto0.5
Teleop6.5
End0.0