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Red14
299410.6
491425.3
128513.8
Blue56
563111.6
494635.4
88611.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603202040801001201401601456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4914
#12
25.33.7
21.017.3
Auto0.3
Teleop25.0
End0.0
blue by 10.1
35.41.5
23.625.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Second
1285
#23
13.83.7
20.516.9
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 2.2
5631
#25
11.61.5
6.88.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
2994
#42
10.63.7
16.613.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 1.0
886
#20
11.61.5
7.18.7
Auto1.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0