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Red45
558015.9
494635.4
7715.1
Blue52
477713.3
575911.3
406919.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443302060801001201404552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.40.6
25.125.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 16.0
4069
#16
19.41.3
21.122.4
Auto1.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
5580
#14
15.90.6
10.911.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 2.6
4777
#18
13.31.3
8.19.4
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
771
#39
5.10.6
8.38.9
Auto0.4
Teleop4.7
End0.0
blue by 6.1
5759
#21
11.31.3
7.18.4
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0