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Red27
56996.6
18835.9
35417.0
Blue11
154714.8
55985.7
124115.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325301001502711

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#2
35.90.8
23.522.7
Auto0.3
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 20.5
1241
#33
15.43.4
30.026.7
Auto0.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
3541
#35
7.00.8
5.34.5
Auto0.5
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 7.8
1547
#30
14.83.4
12.69.2
Auto0.8
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
5699
#41
6.60.8
7.76.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.1
End0.0
red by 0.9
5598
#38
5.73.4
8.85.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop6.2
End0.0