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Red56
88611.6
85427.8
509211.3
Blue74
568017.4
131037.0
434322.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244704060801001201401605674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
854
#5
27.82.8
10.112.9
Auto1.7
Teleop26.1
End0.0
blue by 9.2
37.03.4
23.927.3
Auto6.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
886
#20
11.62.8
8.711.5
Auto1.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 10.4
4343
#15
22.03.4
14.417.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
5092
#22
11.32.8
9.312.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 6.2
5680
#11
17.43.4
6.910.3
Auto0.2
Teleop17.3
End0.0