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Red64
55197.2
558110.1
406919.4
Blue44
88611.6
90713.5
503213.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453202060801001201401606444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#16
19.41.6
22.424.0
Auto1.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
red by 5.8
5032
#28
13.61.2
8.49.6
Auto0.7
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Second
5581
#36
10.11.6
8.910.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 3.4
907
#31
13.51.2
15.616.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
5519
#26
7.21.6
13.715.3
Auto-1.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0
blue by 4.4
886
#20
11.61.2
11.512.7
Auto1.0
Teleop10.6
End0.0