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Red32
131037.0
124115.4
128513.8
Blue3
74610.4
26348.4
91914.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7922050100150200323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.02.9
27.324.4
Auto6.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 22.3
919
#17
14.81.9
10.28.3
Auto-0.9
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
1241
#33
15.42.9
26.723.7
Auto0.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 5.0
746
#32
10.41.9
16.314.4
Auto1.3
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Third
1285
#23
13.82.9
19.016.1
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 5.4
2634
#40
8.41.9
5.53.6
Auto0.7
Teleop7.8
End0.0