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Red48
55985.7
477713.3
577620.7
Blue79
394913.5
491425.3
568017.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2144060801001201401604879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5776
#13
20.71.9
10.612.5
Auto0.3
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 4.6
4914
#12
25.33.1
19.322.3
Auto0.3
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Second
4777
#18
13.31.9
9.411.3
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
blue by 4.1
5680
#11
17.43.1
10.313.3
Auto0.2
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Third
5598
#38
5.71.9
5.47.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop6.2
End0.0
blue by 7.9
3949
#19
13.53.1
12.815.9
Auto1.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0