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Red70
132524.9
477713.3
260927.1
Blue85
26348.4
406919.4
131037.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545002040801001201407085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.11.7
21.323.0
Auto1.8
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 9.9
37.02.7
24.427.2
Auto6.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
24.91.7
22.624.3
Auto2.7
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 5.6
4069
#16
19.42.7
24.026.8
Auto1.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
4777
#18
13.31.7
11.313.0
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 4.9
2634
#40
8.42.7
3.66.3
Auto0.7
Teleop7.8
End0.0