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Red79
49518.8
558110.1
494635.4
Blue67
56996.6
91914.8
491425.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48320204060801001207967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.42.6
24.627.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 10.1
4914
#12
25.32.6
22.324.9
Auto0.3
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Second
5581
#36
10.12.6
10.413.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 4.6
919
#17
14.82.6
8.310.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
4951
#34
8.82.6
12.314.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 2.3
5699
#41
6.62.6
5.27.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.1
End0.0