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Red16
91914.8
299410.6
575911.3
Blue37
154714.8
507611.7
56996.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622060801001201401601637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
919
#17
14.81.6
10.99.3
Auto-0.9
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Level
1547
#30
14.81.5
8.510.0
Auto0.8
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Second
5759
#21
11.31.6
15.213.6
Auto2.3
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5076
#24
11.71.5
8.710.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
2994
#42
10.61.6
8.87.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 4.1
5699
#41
6.61.5
7.89.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop7.1
End0.0