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Red20
49518.8
563111.6
124115.4
Blue57
577620.7
509211.3
406919.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414702060801001201401602057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#33
15.42.0
23.121.1
Auto0.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 5.3
5776
#13
20.71.3
12.113.3
Auto0.3
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
5631
#25
11.62.0
5.83.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 7.8
4069
#16
19.41.3
26.828.0
Auto1.2
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
4951
#34
8.82.0
14.912.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5092
#22
11.31.3
9.110.3
Auto-0.8
Teleop12.0
End0.0