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Red0
558110.1
49397.6
35417.0
Blue10
74610.4
477713.3
563111.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2331050100150010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5581
#36
10.16.5
12.96.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 3.2
4777
#18
13.31.8
12.310.5
Auto-1.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Second
4939
#29
7.62.1
7.15.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop8.5
End0.0
blue by 4.0
5631
#25
11.64.9
11.66.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
3541
#35
7.02.1
9.27.1
Auto0.5
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 3.3
746
#32
10.41.8
10.48.7
Auto1.3
Teleop9.1
End0.0