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Red80
491425.3
7715.1
131037.0
Blue57
55197.2
434322.0
154714.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523302060801001201401608057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.02.4
22.925.3
Auto6.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 15.0
4343
#15
22.01.6
16.818.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
4914
#12
25.32.4
18.621.0
Auto0.3
Teleop25.0
End0.0
red by 10.5
1547
#30
14.81.6
12.213.9
Auto0.8
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
771
#39
5.12.4
9.912.3
Auto0.4
Teleop4.7
End0.0
blue by 2.0
5519
#26
7.23.0
7.210.1
Auto-1.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0